Economics 373

MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS

Spring 2015
 
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Demand Estimation

Data

The data represents the demand for single family housing in a metropolitan area from 1985 - 2014.  The data are also given in a table below, and are coded as follows:

! Quantity = quantity of single family housing units sold in a year

! Population = population of the metropolitan area in thousands

! Price = average price of single family housing per square foot

! Income = median income in the area

! Rent = average rent for apartments in the area

! CPI = Consumer Price Index for the area

Analysis

1.  Use your data and a spreadsheet program to do to estimate the demand for single family housing in the metropolitan area.  You should include the following items in your analysis:

  • Indicate the form of the model used, including the expected signs of the coefficients for each variable.
  • Analyze the validity of the model, including a discussion of the t-tests, R2 and adjusted R2 the F-test, and t-tests.
  • Calculate the point price elasticity, the point income elasticity, and the point cross-price elasticity for housing, using the data for the latest period. Based on the estimated elasticities, answer the following questions:

- Should a developer increase or decrease the price to increase revenue from housing?

- Is single-family housing a normal or inferior good in this situation?

- What is the relationship between single-family housing and apartments?

Final Output

Please submit a copy of your analysis in the form of a brief report along with supporting computer output by Tuesday, February 24. If the output is a hard copy, it should be typed on 8 ½ x 11 or A4 paper. Please do not submit the report in a special report cover; a stable in the upper left hand corner would be adequate. The output may also be submitted as an e-mail attachment.

Population CPI Quantity Price Income Rent
1985 875.5 79.4 23059 59.17 23.3 435
1986 887.5 90.1 20453 68.28 24.9 470
1987 903.8 96.2 20373 69.34 24.7 484
1988 929.1 99.0 20964 70.31 25.2 503
1989 957.6 104.8 18953 72.22 26.9 518
1990 979.3 110.4 19417 77.18 28.7 534
1991 1007.0 113.5 22913 84.13 30.1 609
1992 1031.8 117.5 23491 91.83 31.8 670
1993 1058.7 123.4 25876 105.12 33.7 690
1994 1087.8 130.6 24163 122.07 35.0 704
1995 1118.3 138.4 21949 128.79 36.5 760
1996 1130.0 143.4 19645 129.88 36.3 783
1997 1149.6 147.4 21024 125.81 35.5 744
1998 1171.6 150.6 18567 119.38 35.5 729
1999 1184.8 154.5 21879 119.38 35.9 758
2000 1197.7 156.8 24176 115.34 37.2 841
2001 1183.1 160.9 24686 116.87 40.2 866
2002 1190.2 163.7 27341 123.20 42.3 953
2003 1214.0 166.9 29462 139.44 44.7 1010
2004 1245.5 172.8 25476 159.54 47.1 1030
2005 1277.2 182.8 30375 183.99 53.1 1071
2006 1303.3 191.2 28492 191.16 56.3 1082
2007 1330.1 197.9 27495 218.08 58.3 1095
2008 1354.6 205.3 28893 233.36 60.1 1139
2009 1354.9 212.8 26687 295.43 59.9 1175
2010 1346.1 220.6 30177 315.04 66.2 1212
2011 1347.6 228.1 32242 301.77 69.2 1258
2012 1358.1 233.3 32429 256.61 69.8 1310
2013 1408.1 242.3 33078 192.86 68.4 1363
2014 1422.2 242.3 (X) 167.32 67.7 1325

In place of the (X) for quantity in 2014, use the number next to your name below:

Name (X)
Allen 31500
Alsabah 31600
Bollig 31700
Buyak 31800
Campano 31900
Coles 32000
Constantino 32100
Dreyfus 32200
Frigo 32300
Hartman 32400
Hayes 32500
Hope 32600
Hutchison 32700
Jones 32800
Jordan 32900
Klein 33000
Lacetera 33100
Lund 33200
Molina 33300
Morales 33400
Nelson 33500
Rooney 33600
Rose 33700
Simone 33800
Smith 33900
Suleiman 34000
Suresh 34100
Tasgaonkar 34200
Tefera 34300
Thackston 34400
Traing 34500
Van Tuyle 34600