Demand Estimation
Data
The data represents the demand for single family housing in a metropolitan area from 1985 - 2014.
The data are also given in a table below, and are coded as follows:
! Quantity = quantity of single family housing units sold in a year
! Population = population of the metropolitan area in thousands
! Price = average price of single family housing per square foot
! Income = median income in the area
! Rent = average rent for apartments in the area
! CPI = Consumer Price Index for the area
Analysis
1. Use your data and a spreadsheet program to do to
estimate the demand for single family housing in the metropolitan area.
You should include the following items in your analysis:
- Indicate the form of the model used, including the expected signs of the coefficients for each variable.
- Analyze the validity of the model, including a discussion of the
t-tests, R2 and adjusted R2 the F-test, and t-tests.
- Calculate the point price elasticity, the
point income elasticity, and the point cross-price elasticity for
housing, using the data for the latest period. Based on the estimated elasticities,
answer the following questions:
- Should a developer increase or
decrease the price to increase revenue from housing?
- Is single-family housing a normal or inferior good in this
situation?
- What is the relationship between single-family housing and
apartments?
Final Output
Please submit a copy of your analysis in the form
of a brief report along with supporting computer output by Tuesday, February 24. If the output is a hard copy, it should be typed on 8 ½ x 11 or A4 paper. Please do not submit the report in a special report
cover; a stable in the upper left hand corner would be adequate. The output may also be submitted as an e-mail attachment.
|
Population |
CPI |
Quantity |
Price |
Income |
Rent |
1985 |
875.5 |
79.4 |
23059 |
59.17 |
23.3 |
435 |
1986 |
887.5 |
90.1 |
20453 |
68.28 |
24.9 |
470 |
1987 |
903.8 |
96.2 |
20373 |
69.34 |
24.7 |
484 |
1988 |
929.1 |
99.0 |
20964 |
70.31 |
25.2 |
503 |
1989 |
957.6 |
104.8 |
18953 |
72.22 |
26.9 |
518 |
1990 |
979.3 |
110.4 |
19417 |
77.18 |
28.7 |
534 |
1991 |
1007.0 |
113.5 |
22913 |
84.13 |
30.1 |
609 |
1992 |
1031.8 |
117.5 |
23491 |
91.83 |
31.8 |
670 |
1993 |
1058.7 |
123.4 |
25876 |
105.12 |
33.7 |
690 |
1994 |
1087.8 |
130.6 |
24163 |
122.07 |
35.0 |
704 |
1995 |
1118.3 |
138.4 |
21949 |
128.79 |
36.5 |
760 |
1996 |
1130.0 |
143.4 |
19645 |
129.88 |
36.3 |
783 |
1997 |
1149.6 |
147.4 |
21024 |
125.81 |
35.5 |
744 |
1998 |
1171.6 |
150.6 |
18567 |
119.38 |
35.5 |
729 |
1999 |
1184.8 |
154.5 |
21879 |
119.38 |
35.9 |
758 |
2000 |
1197.7 |
156.8 |
24176 |
115.34 |
37.2 |
841 |
2001 |
1183.1 |
160.9 |
24686 |
116.87 |
40.2 |
866 |
2002 |
1190.2 |
163.7 |
27341 |
123.20 |
42.3 |
953 |
2003 |
1214.0 |
166.9 |
29462 |
139.44 |
44.7 |
1010 |
2004 |
1245.5 |
172.8 |
25476 |
159.54 |
47.1 |
1030 |
2005 |
1277.2 |
182.8 |
30375 |
183.99 |
53.1 |
1071 |
2006 |
1303.3 |
191.2 |
28492 |
191.16 |
56.3 |
1082 |
2007 |
1330.1 |
197.9 |
27495 |
218.08 |
58.3 |
1095 |
2008 |
1354.6 |
205.3 |
28893 |
233.36 |
60.1 |
1139 |
2009 |
1354.9 |
212.8 |
26687 |
295.43 |
59.9 |
1175 |
2010 |
1346.1 |
220.6 |
30177 |
315.04 |
66.2 |
1212 |
2011 |
1347.6 |
228.1 |
32242 |
301.77 |
69.2 |
1258 |
2012 |
1358.1 |
233.3 |
32429 |
256.61 |
69.8 |
1310 |
2013 |
1408.1 |
242.3 |
33078 |
192.86 |
68.4 |
1363 |
2014 |
1422.2 |
242.3 |
(X) |
167.32 |
67.7 |
1325 |
In place of the (X) for quantity in 2014, use the number next to your name below:
Name |
(X) |
Allen |
31500 |
Alsabah |
31600 |
Bollig |
31700 |
Buyak |
31800 |
Campano |
31900 |
Coles |
32000 |
Constantino |
32100 |
Dreyfus |
32200 |
Frigo |
32300 |
Hartman |
32400 |
Hayes |
32500 |
Hope |
32600 |
Hutchison |
32700 |
Jones |
32800 |
Jordan |
32900 |
Klein |
33000 |
Lacetera |
33100 |
Lund |
33200 |
Molina |
33300 |
Morales |
33400 |
Nelson |
33500 |
Rooney |
33600 |
Rose |
33700 |
Simone |
33800 |
Smith |
33900 |
Suleiman |
34000 |
Suresh |
34100 |
Tasgaonkar |
34200 |
Tefera |
34300 |
Thackston |
34400 |
Traing |
34500 |
Van Tuyle |
34600 |
|