Graduate Business Administration 502

INFORMATION AND ANALYSIS

Fall 2003
 
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Assignment 3 - Multiple Regression

Data

The multiple regression assignment can be done individually or in a team consisting of any number of students. You or your team should gather data on a dependent variable and independent variables that are of interest to you, subject to the following limitations:

  • There should be at least 30 observations in your data set.

  • The data can be either cross-section or time series.

  • As in Assignment 1, there must be some logical reason for the number of observations that you choose.

  • The minimum number of independent variables in your model should be two plus one for each person in your team.

  • At least one of the independent variables must be a dummy variable.

  • No more than half of the independent variables can be dummy variables.

  • Do not use the data from the marketing survey.

Analysis

Use your data and a spreadsheet program to do to perform a multiple regression analysis for your variables. The analysis should include the following:

  1. A complete description of the model that you are going to estimate. Indicate the general model that you are going to estimate. Discuss what you think the relationship is between the dependent variable and the independent variables, and what that leads you to conclude about the expected signs of the coefficients in the model.  Determine the correlation between each of the independent variables and the dependent variable.

  2. A printout of the computer results.

  3. Give an interpretation of the coefficient of determination (r2). List the adjusted r2.  Use the F-test to test the validity of the model as a whole at a 5% level of significance.

  4. Give an interpretation of each of the estimated coefficients. Do the signs of the coefficients match your expectations? At the 5% level of significance, test whether each of the variables makes a significant contribution to the model .

  5. Conduct an analysis to determine if any problems exist.

  6. Use your model to make a prediction for any combination of values for your independent variables.

Final Output

Please submit a copy of your analysis in the form of a report by October 17 16. If the output is a hard copy, it should be typed on 8 ½ x 11 or A4 paper. Please do not submit the report in a special report cover; a stable in the upper left hand corner would be adequate. The output may also be submitted as an e-mail attachment.