Graduate Business Administration 509

MANAGERIAL DECISION MAKING

Fall 2003
 
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III. Decision Making Applications

A.  Asymmetric Information and Organizational Design

1.  Asymmetric information

  • One party knows more than another

a.  Adverse selection

  •    One party has hidden or unobservable information

Ex. - Health insurance

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Ex. - Used cars

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b.  Signalling

  • Uninformed party tries to acquire information about different risk categories

Ex. - High risk vs. low risk drivers, bad vs. good credit risks, inspection by mechanics

  • Low risk informed party needs to prove status or suffer consequences of adverse selection

(1)  Reputation

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(2)  Guarantees or warranties

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(3)  Education as a signal of worker productivity

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  • Cost of signalling should be lower for high-quality entities for it to work

c.  Moral hazard

  • Agent - takes action that affects another

  • Principal - affected party

Ex. - Physician-patient, supplier-buyer, management-stockholders

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  • Moral hazard - agent has incentives to act in its own self-interest, against the interest of principals

Ex. - Health insurance

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Ex. - Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)

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2.  Organizational design

a.  Breadth of firm

  • Should activity be done in-house or should it be outsourced?

(1)  Factors favoring in-house production

  • Firm-specific good or service

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  • Outside risks - input quality, supply disruption

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  • High degree of coordination required

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(2)  Factors favoring outsourcing

  • Standardized good or service

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  • Competitive market available

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  • Low degree of coordination required

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b.  Assigning decision-making responsibilities

  • Assign decision responsibilities to those with the best information on which to act

  • Responsibilities typically divided along functional lines, product lines, customer type, geography, etc.

(1)  Factors favoring centralization of decision making

  • High degree of coordination required

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  • Concentration of decision-relevant information

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  • Significant principal-agent problems

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(2)  Factors favoring decentralization of decision making

  • Low degree of coordination required

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  • Dispersion of decision-relevant information

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  • Compatible interests and objectives

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c.  Monitoring and rewarding performance

(1)  Motivating workers

  • Worker = agent, employer = principal

  • Need to get workers to give optimal effort, given that they may prefer to do other things

    (a)  If effort or output are observable, then an optimal contract can be implemented

Ex. - 

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(b)  If effort and output are both imperfectly observable, moral hazard may result in less than optimal situation

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(3)  Use incentive contracts to deal with moral hazard

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(2)  Evaluating individual performance

  • Informative principle - all (and only) information bearing on an individual's effort and contribution to profit should be included in measure of performance

  • Problems:

(a)  Difficult to identify contributions of an individual worker

(b)  Imperfect performance measurement reduces incentives for efficient behavior

(c)  Aggregate measures means individual workers affected by performance of others

(d)  Benchmark problem - how to determine if goals are realistic

(3)  Evaluating group performance

  • Encourages cooperation and teamwork
  • Employee rewards dependent on others
  • Free rider problem - incentive not to make full contribution, especially if individual effort is not easily observable
  • More incentive to free ride the larger the group

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d.  Impact of information technology

(1)  External transactions less costly => more outsourcing

(2)  Improved Internal information sharing => fewer hierarchical levels, more longitudinal organization structure

(3)  More decentralization of decision making

e.  Separation of ownership and control in corporations

  • Shareholders (principals) have little control over selection of management (agents)

  • Difficult for shareholders to take actions

(1)  Limiting the power of top management

  • Shareholder empowerment - binding shareholder resolutions, reduce costs of shareholder challenges, encourage cooperation among large institutional shareholders

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  • Corporate governance reforms - more use of outside directors

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  • External enforcement of managerial duties - civil or criminal actions

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  • Market for corporate control - market pressures force maximization of firm values or company will be taken over

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(2)  Financial incentives for management