USD Burnham-Moores Index of Leading Economic Indicators

* Data revised after initial report

Month Index % Change Building
Permits
Initial
Claims
Stock
Prices
Consumer Confidence Help Wanted Advertising National Economy
APR   152.7      -0.2  -1.09     +0.23 -0.20 +0.11    -0.74  +0.74
MAR   153.0      +0.5  -0.68     +1.56 +0.88 +0.35    +0.27    +0.74*
FEB   152.2        +0.8*  +0.35     +1.69 -0.58 +0.41    +1.27    +1.49*
JAN 2018     151.0*      +1.4  +2.51     +0.93   +0.74* +0.17    +2.31    +1.50*
DEC   149.0      +1.4  +3.46     +1.30 +0.32 +0.37       +1.53*    +1.32*
NOV     146.9*        +0.5*  -0.46     +0.84 +0.46 +0.77    +0.80    +0.76*
OCT     146.1*        +0.6*  -0.06     +0.42   +0.31* +0.54    +0.00    +2.68*
SEP     145.2*        +0.0*  -0.20     +0.00   +0.89* +0.04    -0.73    +0.00*
AUG   145.2      +0.1  +0.51     -0.10 -0.02 +0.16    -1.13    +0.77*
JUL   145.1      +0.5  +2.81     -0.27 +0.06 +0.27       -0.60*    +0.58*
JUN     144.5*        +0.9*  +3.84     -0.41 +0.48 +0.34       -0.56*    +1.42*
MAY   143.2      +0.1  -0.20     +0.06 +0.13 +0.83    -0.60    +0.63*
APR     143.0*      +0.0  -1.58     +0.75 -0.22 +1.35       -0.69*    +0.48*
MAR     143.0*       +0.4*  -1.42     +1.16 +0.34 +1.77      -0.46*    +0.80*
FEB     142.5*       +0.3*  -1.88     +0.77 +0.73 +1.36      +0.24*    +0.80*
JAN 2017     142.0*       +0.5*  -1.46     +0.24 +0.57 +1.28      +1.41*    +1.13*
DEC   141.3     +0.7  +0.61     +0.34 +0.57 +1.16    +0.57    +0.96*
NOV     140.3*     +0.3  +0.81     +0.62 -0.34 +0.98    -0.33    +0.32*
OCT     139.8*       -0.1*  +0.29     +0.22    -1.32* +0.60    -0.60    +0.32*
SEP   139.9     +0.0  -0.51     -0.11 +0.21 +0.64    -0.97    +0.48*
AUG   139.9     +0.1  +0.63     -0.11 +1.00 +0.46       -1.23*    -0.16*
JUL   139.8     -0.1  -1.70     +0.38 +0.82 +0.13    -1.16    +0.97*
JUN   140.0     -0.2  -0.63     -0.49 +0.96 -0.11       -1.57*    +0.48*
MAY     140.3*     -0.3  -0.07     +0.22 -0.53 -0.34       -0.81*    -0.32*
APR     140.7*     +0.4  -0.28     +0.81 +1.19 -0.21    -0.26    +0.97*
MAR     140.2*       +0.3*  -0.75     +1.14 +1.39 -0.14      +0.38*    +0.00*
FEB     139.7*     +0.1    +0.58*     +0.68 -1.80 -0.35    +1.43    +0.00*
JAN 2016     139.6*     +0.0    +0.26*     +0.47 -2.25 -0.14    +2.10    -0.48*
DEC     139.*       +0.1*  +1.09       +0.19* -0.81 -0.21    +1.24    -0.64*
NOV     139.4*     +0.7  +1.18     +1.05 +0.35 -0.15    +0.87    +0.80*
OCT     138.5*       +0.1*    +0.70*     -0.14 -1.13 +0.44    -0.05    +0.96*
SEP     138.3*       -0.4*    +0.31*     -0.99 -0.86 +0.28    -0.65    -0.32*
AUG     138.8*       -0.7*    -1.52*     -0.87 -0.60 -0.05    -0.99    +0.00*
JUL     139.7*       -0.4*    -0.55*     -1.38 +1.23 -0.51    -1.03    -0.16*
JUN     140.3*     +0.4    +0.99*     -0.31 +0.75 -0.20    -0.17  +1.12
MAY     139.8*       +0.4*    +1.67*     +0.54 -1.21    -0.13*    +0.56    +0.96*
APR     139.2*       +0.9*    +2.10*     +0.65 +0.14 +0.25    +1.04    +1.13*
MAR     138.0*       +1.5*    +2.45*     +2.51 +0.69    +0.87*    +1.74    +0.97*
FEB     135.9*       +1.2*    +1.88*    +2.46 +0.31   +0.81*    +2.38    -0.49*
JAN 2015   134.2     +1.4 +1.34    +2.51 +0.85 +0.89    +2.44    +0.33*
DEC     132.4*       +0.7* -1.19    +2.05 +0.47 +0.36    +1.98    +0.82*
NOV     131.4*       +1.3* -0.10    +2.90 +1.72 +0.51    +1.75    +0.98*
OCT     129.7*       +0.5* -1.72    +1.82 +0.08 +0.93    +0.87    +1.15*
SEP     129.0*       +0.5* -1.09    +1.57 +0.32 +0.73    +0.53    +1.16*
AUG     128.3*       +0.3* -1.59    +1.55 -0.02 +1.02    +0.41    +0.17*
JUL     128.0*     +0.3 -0.97    +0.73 -0.83 +0.80    -0.19    +2.01*
JUN   127.7     +0.2 -1.57    +0.59 +1.10 +0.51    -0.80    +1.16*
MAY   127.5     -0.3 -1.88    +0.37 -0.35 +0.37    -1.57  +1.16
APR   127.9     -0.5 -0.57    -0.33 -2.01 +0.45    -1.30  +0.59
MAR   128.6     +0.5 +0.23    +0.57 +0.73 +0.52    -0.82  +1.96
FEB   127.9     +0.2 -0.10    -0.18 +0.20 +0.06    +0.12  +1.19
JAN 2014   127.6     +0.1 -0.12    -0.81 +0.63 -0.02    +0.70  +0.20
DEC     127.5*       +0.0* +2.16    -2.44    +0.31* -0.20      +0.43*    -0.20*
NOV     127.5*     +0.4 +3.39    -2.05    +0.41* -0.24       -1.14*    +1.79*
OCT     127.0*        -0.5* -0.05    -2.65    +0.48* +0.38       -1.49*    +0.40*
SEP     127.6*       +0.4* -1.64      +1.64*    +0.32* +1.07       -0.95*    +2.01*
AUG     127.1*       +0.2*    -0.23*    -0.41    +0.40* +1.39       -1.18*    +1.42*
JUL     126.8*       +0.4* +1.25    -0.77    +0.76*    +1.38*       -0.97*    +0.82*
JUN     126.3*       -0.2* +0.09    -0.18    -1.00*   +1.09*       -1.07*  +0.00
MAY     126.5*       +0.4* +1.88    -0.73    +1.50* +0.40       -1.08*    +0.41*
APR     126.0*       +0.4* +0.34    +0.81    +0.55* -0.18       -0.53*    +1.66*
MAR     125.5*       +0.2* +0.21    +1.27    +0.46* -0.54      +0.42*    -0.62*
FEB     125.2*      +1.0*    +1.87      +1.09    +1.04*  -0.41      +1.48*    +1.04*
JAN 2013     123.9*      +0.6*    -1.82      +1.54 +1.46  -0.71      +2.16*    +0.84*
DEC   123.2      +0.5*    -1.17      +1.62 +0.56  +0.15      +1.03*    +0.63*
NOV     122.7*    +0.1    -0.68      +1.26 -0.22  +0.59      -0.23*  -0.41
OCT   122.6    +0.3    +0.60      +0.00 -0.05  +0.59    -0.04    +0.61*
SEP     122.2*      +0.5*    +1.35      +0.18 +0.75  +0.08    +0.05    +0.82*
AUG     121.6*      -0.1*    +1.21     -0.62 -0.43  -0.23    +0.48     -0.82*
JUL   121.7    +0.3    +0.81     -0.83 +0.36  +0.18    +0.75    +0.82*
JUN     121.2*      +0.0*    +1.25     -0.76 -0.41  +0.38    +0.61    -1.02*
MAY     121.2*      +0.6*    +1.74     +0.05 -0.11  +1.12    +0.33    +0.61*
APR   120.5    +0.6    +0.19     +1.22 +0.14  +1.87    +0.24  -0.20
MAR   119.8    +0.9      +0.60*     +1.98 +0.00  +2.19    +0.20    +0.41*
FEB   118.7    +0.9      -1.43*     +1.25 +1.52  +1.99    +0.61  +1.44
JAN 2012     117.7*     +0.7*      -0.52*     +1.07 +1.07    +1.11*    +0.84    +0.41*
DEC     116.9*    +0.6    +0.85     +0.55    -0.17*    +0.85*    +0.61    +1.03*
NOV     116.2*      +0.2*    +1.45     +0.50    -0.18*    -1.93*    +0.53    +0.99*
OCT   115.9    -0.2      -1.48*     +0.06 -0.05  -1.89    +0.53  +1.83
SEP   116.1    +0.1    -0.62     -0.13 -0.21  +0.65    +0.61    +0.17*
AUG   116.0    -1.0    -1.30     +0.07 -3.15  -2.85    +0.72    +0.67*
JUL     117.1*    +0.2      -0.20*     -0.22 +0.59    -1.22*    +1.13    +1.01*
JUN     116.9*    -0.2      -1.06*     -0.49   -0.58*    -1.14*    +1.09  +0.68
MAY   117.2    +0.7    +0.30     +0.73 +0.58  -0.31    +1.29    +1.36*
APR     116.4*      +1.0*      +2.96*     +0.84 +0.69    +0.43*    +1.37    -0.51*
MAR   115.3      +1.2*      +2.09*     +1.89 -0.36  +0.92    +1.27    +1.37*
FEB     114.0*      +2.0*      +5.08*     +2.00 +0.39  +1.52    +1.01    +1.72*
JAN 2011     111.7*      +1.0*    +2.62     +1.07 +0.79  +0.81    +0.06    +0.35*
DEC     110.7*      +0.4*       -0.28*     -0.08 +1.22  +0.05    -0.03    +1.57*
NOV     110.2*    +0.3       -2.09*     +1.21 +0.22  +0.21    -0.13  +2.09
OCT   110.0    +0.0       -2.26*     +0.48 +0.65  +0.04    +0.09     +0.70*
SEP     110.0*      +0.0*      -1.55*     -0.39 +0.52  +0.23    +0.15    +1.23*
AUG   110.0    +0.0    -0.64     -0.13 +0.08  +0.02    +0.35    +0.18*
JUL     110.0*    +0.3      +0.32*     -0.92 -0.35  +1.28    +1.08     +0.35*
JUN     109.7*    +0.2    +1.59     -0.58 -1.12  +0.44    +1.24     -0.35*
MAY     109.5*      +0.3*      +1.14*       -0.30* -1.09  +0.20    +0.81    +0.89*
APR   109.2      +0.1*      +0.15*       -0.61* +1.24   -0.92    +0.97    +0.00*
MAR   109.0    +1.0      +0.14*     +0.69* +1.97   -0.44    +0.87    +2.69*
FEB     107.9*      +0.2*      +0.85*   +0.69 -0.75   -0.64    +0.53    +0.72*
JAN 2010     107.7*      +0.5*      +0.98*     +0.32* +0.52     -0.36*      +0.41*    +1.09*
DEC     107.2*     +0.7*      +0.66*   +0.22 +0.39   +0.02    +0.38    +2.43*
NOV     106.5*     +0.1*       -0.29*      +0.67* -2.84   +1.16    -0.08    +2.08*
OCT     106.3*     +0.5*      +0.40*      +0.12* -1.31   +3.36    -0.41    +0.95*
SEP     105.8*     +1.2*      +1.39*      -0.24* -0.53   +4.95    -0.28    +2.11*
AUG     104.5*     +0.9*      -1.44*      +0.34* +0.77   +4.92    -0.52    +1.16*
JUL     103.6*     +0.6*     -0.12*     -0.79* +0.12   +2.99    -1.15    +2.73*
JUN     102.9*     +0.9*    +0.68      -0.45* +0.88   +4.65    -2.26    +1.78*
MAY     102.0*     +0.8*      +0.54*      +0.03* +1.17   +4.22    -3.46    +2.59*
APR     101.1*     +0.4*      +1.26*      -1.23* +2.33   +2.78    -4.49    +2.02*
MAR   100.7     -1.9*      -1.07*      -0.78* -1.28   -3.27    -4.65    -0.61*
FEB     102.7*     -2.5*      -4.85*      -1.55* +0.11   -3.60    -4.10    -0.81*
JAN 2009     105.2*     -2.1*      -4.08*      -2.38* +1.23   -3.07    -3.53    -0.60*
DEC     107.4*     -2.2*      -3.00*      -3.64* -0.67   -2.95    -3.02    -0.20*
NOV     109.9*     -2.0*     -1.98*      -2.39*    -2.45*   -1.98    -2.29    -1.19*
OCT     112.1*     -2.3*    -1.58      -2.56*    -5.45*   -1.39    -1.31    -1.37*
SEP     114.7*     -0.8*      -0.40*      -1.94* -1.19   -0.94    -0.54   +0.00*
AUG     115.7*     -0.9*      +1.07*      -2.19* +1.39   -3.03    -0.81   -1.75*
JUL     116.7*     -1.6*      +0.82*     -3.25* -0.58   -4.72    -0.74 -1.35
JUN     118.6*     -1.0*      +1.93*   -0.67 -1.34   -4.89    -0.78   +0.00*
MAY     119.8*     -1.1*      +0.43*   -0.82 +0.14   -4.79    -1.22     -0.19*  
APR     121.1*     -1.3*      -0.60*   -0.86 +0.87   -5.66    -1.70    +0.19  
MAR   122.7   -1.4    -1.96    +0.76 +0.10   -4.63    -2.57      +0.00*  
FEB     124.4*     -1.4*      -0.42*      -0.10* -0.54   -3.87    -2.66    -0.58  
JAN 2008     126.1*     -1.6*    -0.37      -0.79* -1.45   -3.19    -2.92    -0.72  
DEC     128.1*   -1.0      +0.78*      -1.41* -0.08   -2.61    -2.58      -0.14*  
NOV     129.4*     -1.8*    -0.55      -3.12* -1.27   -2.44    -2.38      -1.00*  
OCT    131.7*     -1.4*      -1.11*      -2.34* +0.44   -1.59    -2.39      -1.14*  
SEP    133.5*     -0.8*      -1.55*     -1.08* +0.49   -1.21    -2.26     +0.57*  
AUG    134.6*    -1.6*    -0.67          -1.36*      -1.14   -2.03    -2.08    -2.13*
JUL    136.8*     -0.4*    +0.03         -0.91*      +0.14   -1.20    -1.32   +0.99*
JUN   137.3*   -0.8*     -1.08*         -0.73*      +0.13   -1.57    -1.03    -0.43*
MAY   138.4*   -0.5*     -0.82*        -1.00*      +0.32   -1.14    -0.96  +0.43*
APR   139.1*   -0.1*     -0.50*        -0.64*      +1.12   +0.52    -0.90   -0.43*
MAR   139.3*   +0.1*   +0.39        +0.25*      -0.79   +0.37    -1.09 +1.14
FEB   139.2* -0.3 -0.84    +0.32      +0.35   +1.19    -1.62 -1.14
JAN 2007   139.6*   -0.3*     -0.68*   -0.13    +0.22   +1.20      -1.50*   -0.71*
DEC   140.0*   -0.3*     -1.67*      -0.40      +0.02     +0.81*    -1.46   +1.11*
NOV   140.4* -0.3   -1.50      -0.26      +0.06   +0.98    -0.88   +0.00*
OCT   140.7*   -0.1*   -0.83      -0.76      +0.48   +0.54    -0.28   +0.00*
SEP   140.9*   -0.2*     -1.02*      -1.36      +0.42   +0.09    -0.17   +0.84*
AUG   141.2* -0.6   -0.11      -1.63      -0.23   -1.19    +0.17   -0.70*
JUL   142.1*   -0.2*   +1.78*    -1.53      -0.37   -0.61* -0.19   -0.42*
JUN   142.4* -0.2 +1.70    -1.55*    -1.06 -0.06 -0.47   +0.14*
MAY   142.7* -0.7 -0.48    -1.45    -0.56 -0.39 -0.33   -1.25*
APR 143.8 -0.3 -0.81    -0.17    -0.05 -0.11 -0.12   -0.42*
MAR 144.2 +0.3 -0.11    +0.64    +0.48 +0.73 +0.07 +0.00
FEB 143.8 +0.4 -0.22    +1.64    +0.33 +0.62 +0.17 -0.28
JAN 2006 143.2 +0.1 -2.03    +1.31    +0.25 +0.60 -0.25 +0.83
DEC   143.0*   +0.3* -1.74    +1.28    +0.57 +1.24* -0.20* +0.41
NOV   142.7*   +0.4* -1.38    +1.19    +0.65 -0.05 +0.16* +1.81
OCT   142.1*   +0.0* -1.40    +0.87    -0.38 -0.66 +0.16* +1.54
SEP   142.1*   -0.4* -0.30    +0.47    +0.09 -0.80 -0.05* -1.53
AUG   142.6*   +0.1*   -0.30*    +0.93    +0.07 -0.42 -0.01*   +0.00*
JUL   142.5* +0.1   -0.50*    +1.51    +0.87 -1.00 +0.22*   -0.28*
JUN   142.3*   +0.2* -0.74    +0.84    +0.55 -1.76 +0.37*   +2.09*
MAY   142.0*   -0.1* +0.22      +0.50*    +0.24 -1.46 -0.30   +0.28*
APR   142.1*   -0.4*   -0.20*   -0.13* -0.60 -1.52 +0.01   +0.14*
MAR   142.7* -0.4 +0.70   -0.05* -0.43 -1.30 -0.01   -1.40*
FEB   143.3*   -0.1* -0.34 -0.28 +0.12 -0.43 -0.03   +0.56*
JAN 2005   143.4* -0.1 +0.61 -0.56 -0.55 -0.38 +0.64   -0.14*
DEC   143.5* +0.5 +0.70   -0.10* +0.99 +0.22 +0.66 +0.49
NOV   142.8* +0.5 +0.60   +0.89* +0.82 +0.64 -0.70   +0.49*
OCT   142.1* -0.1 -0.77   +0.96* +0.20 +0.88 -0.94   -0.49*
SEP 142.1 +0.0 -0.12 +0.49 +0.78 +0.37 -1.08 -0.49
AUG   142.2* +0.1   -0.22      +1.14* -0.48 +1.17 -0.69   -0.49*
JUL   142.1* +0.0   -0.95*   +1.05* -0.63 +1.47   -0.40*   -0.32*
JUN 142.0 +0.2   -0.64*   +1.80* +0.51 +0.15 -0.16   -0.16*
MAY 141.7 +0.4 -0.14   +2.23* -0.85 +0.10 +0.26   +0.81*
APR 141.1 +0.5 +0.19 +1.63 +0.26 +0.74 +0.28 +0.16
MAR 140.4 +1.0 -0.04 +3.28 +0.38 +0.56 +0.53 +1.47
FEB 138.9 +0.9 +0.38 +3.93 +0.12 +0.61 +0.27 +0.00
JAN 2004 137.7 +1.1 +0.29 +2.89 +1.15 +1.08 +0.28 +0.66
DEC 136.3 +0.8 +0.85 +1.07 +0.09 +1.76 +0.34 +0.49
NOV 135.2 +0.8 +0.22 +0.59 +0.59 +2.29 +0.38 +0.56
OCT 134.2 +0.3 +0.27 -0.71 -0.08 +1.45 +0.12 +0.65
SEP 133.8 +0.5 +0.18 +0.27 +1.16 +1.19 +0.09 +0.00
AUG 133.2 +0.2 -1.05 +0.61 +0.26 +0.76 +0.15 +0.66
JUL 132.9 +0.1 -1.17 -0.26 +1.07 +0.00 -0.38 +1.15
JUN 132.8 +0.0 -1.33 +0.32 +0.99 +0.08 -0.63 +0.66
MAY 132.8 +0.2 -0.27 -0.21 +1.27 -0.87 -0.97 +2.00
APR 132.5 -0.3 +0.72 -0.42 +0.77 -1.90 -1.05 +0.17
MAR 132.9 -0.1 +2.07 +1.33 +0.00 -2.69 -0.90 -0.34
FEB 133.0 -0.2 +2.38 +1.11 -0.95 -1.99 -0.59 -1.00
JAN 2003 133.3 +0.0 +0.40 +1.72 +0.02 -0.90 -0.89 -0.17
DEC 133.2 -0.1 +0.67 +1.21 +0.06 -1.65 -1.15 +0.16
NOV 133.4 +0.0 +1.63 +0.27 +1.41 -3.16 -1.09 +0.98
OCT 133.4 -0.8 +0.30 -1.13 -0.46 -2.93 -0.81 +0.33
SEP 134.4 -0.9 -0.18 -1.29 -0.66 -2.05 -0.23 -0.82
AUG 135.6 -0.7 -0.30 -1.74 -0.84 -1.51 +0.46 -0.16
JUL 136.5 -0.7 -1.25 -2.38 -1.56 -0.06 +1.33 -0.33
JUN 137.5 -0.5 -1.09 -2.13 -1.12 +0.97 +0.41 -0.32
MAY 138.2 -0.2 -0.62 -3.12 -0.50 +1.71 +0.31 +1.14
APR 138.5 -0.2 -0.25 -4.08 +0.47 +2.46 +0.39 -0.49
MAR 138.8 +0.5 -0.35 -0.14 +1.16 +1.86 +0.26 +0.00
FEB 138.2 +0.3 +0.12 +0.81 -1.08 +1.86 -0.08 +0.16
JAN 2002 137.8 +0.3 +0.98 -0.28 -0.08 +1.32 -1.05 +1.08